Hornbill Unleashed

February 9, 2013

‘BN to win election but no two thirds’

Filed under: Politics — Hornbill Unleashed @ 12:00 AM
Tags: , , , ,

Lisa J. Ariffin 

The Economist Intelligence Unit predicts Barisan Nasional as likely winners because of Pakatan Rakyat’s costly promises.

The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) has predicted Barisan Nasional (BN) as the likely winner in the upcoming general election.

However, analysts predict the ruling coalition will probably fail to attain the two-thirds parliamentary majority to make constitutional changes unchallenged.

The Economist Intelligence Unit is part of London’s Economist, a weekly global news magazine.

In a recent report on their website, EIU claims Pakatan Rakyat (PR) have been making “costly promises” to gain power.

However, the opposition alliance’s efforts have attracted less attention than the generosity of BN, which had spent lavishly in two consecutive budgets to please voters.

“In addition, the government is offering many local incentives to ensure the return of BN representatives at federal and state level,” it said, elaborating that Prime Minister Najib Tun Razak recently offered Penang’s Pakatan-controlled state assembly 20,000 affordable houses and a monorail to ease traffic congestion.

“The next election is likely to be a tight race, but we do not expect the outcome to lead to a dramatic improvement in the public finances,” it added.

The EIU also said it is “clearly not feasible” for Pakatan to implement all of its campaign promises in one go.

“For example, providing free secondary education would cost the government RM43 billion, while abolishing car duty would cut tax revenue by RM4.6 billion a year,” it explained.

It also pointed out that Pakatan had been accused of breaking its promises that include financial assistance for pre-school education, and for university students, senior citizens and the disabled; free healthcare for those over 65; lower property taxes; and assistance for home buyers.

Citing Malaysia’s richest state Selangor as an example, the report quotes BN as claiming Pakatan had implemented only 15 per cent of the RM2.4 billion-worth of its 31 election pledges made in its 2008 manifesto.

“Selangor’s Menteri Besar Khalid Ibrahim, commented that a manifesto is not a promise but conceded that voters may think otherwise,” it then said.

The report also quoted latest opinion polls which showed Najib’s approval rating of more than 60 per cent, but noted 47 per cent ofthose surveyed saying that they were satisfied with the government.

“This disparity might translate into a loss of seats for the BN at the next election,” the EIU warned.

“Both (BN and Pakatan) will need to appeal to young, first-time voters, given that nearly three million people in this crucial voting block have been added to the electoral register since the last election,” it added.

The EIU claimed the “bulk of this group” was undecided about which party to vote for and could swing the outcome of GE13.

“The stakes are high for both… the bidding war is likely to continue as both sides make preparations for what is being billed as one of the hardest-fought elections in Malaysia’s history,” it said.

“On the one hand, Najib needs to win big in order to secure the future of his reform agenda, while on the other hand, the opposition leader, Anwar Ibrahim, wants to be the first to break the BN’s stranglehold on power.”



  1. BN will only win through cheating…..I think we have all had 3 or 4 years of re-awakening politically and we see what we see that Najib is an Idiot with a capital ‘I’ and there is non one, not even Muyidden or Dr M’s son who can do any better or worse. Muyidden will plunge us all back into the 16th century and keep us all stupid……Dr Ms son is weak and will just be a puppet for his meddling dad. Does Malaysia and her people really need despots of this caliber to bring her up to date with leading countries of excellence like Singapore and Korea? Must Bn now only compare their successes with African nations?
    The Rakyat are no more blind that Najib is poor. Give us a break from these silly comments and lets see what happens on polling day. I shall be flying the yellow flag and will party all night WHEN PKR anouce they are the winners…because it is a deffinate result and they will win without cheating..unlike BN

    Comment by Sugar Buns — February 12, 2013 @ 4:47 PM | Reply

  2. R U ready for BN style?

    No No No

    We Oppose BN style … Op OP OP … Oppose BN Style

    Comment by tigeryk — February 11, 2013 @ 9:04 PM | Reply

  3. BN will win the government of Malaysia even by default. Even if BN obtained 95 seats in 222-seats parliament, because it is under one symbol (BN) it will be considered as the “majority” with PR parties dividng the spoils amongst themselves. Malaysia is not London or Australia, or USA. Once upon a time a great leader in pre-Malaysia Sarawak once said of a “democracy” as “Rimau Atas Kerusi” (A Tiger Atops A Chair). Look at article 43 (2) (a) Federal Constitution which reads: ” the Yang diPertuan Agong shall appoint as Perdana Menteri (Prime Minister) to preside over the Cabinet a member of the House of Representatives who in his judgment is likely to command the confidence of the majority of the members of that House….” With this it is obvious the power to appoint a Perdana Menteri is not in Parliament but in the Yang diPertuan Agong. With Yang diPertuan Agong comes the Rulers Council which I think, has the powers mor than than of Parliament. BN will only loose power if either PKR or PAS elected members of Pariament is more than that of BN. But it will not be defeated by the combined number of seats won by 3 parties of PR. Of course a very weak government will be the result. However in their urgent need to pre-empt any change over of government in PUTRAJAYA, for the consequences will be too great for far too many of current and past government leaders, the above scenario is a preferred option definitely. And in such an event Tun M who in the past had caused an almost loss of power of the throne in the governance of the nation will look up in the face it will be the Rulers who will be his saviours after all.

    Comment by Anek — February 10, 2013 @ 9:27 AM | Reply

  4. “For example, providing free secondary education would cost the government RM43 billion, while abolishing car duty would cut tax revenue by RM4.6 billion a year,” it explained….We are prepared to let the Pakatan try these out. Its better then letting all these BN/UMNO pocket all the under table money. Enriching themselves at the expense of the Rakyat.
    “Citing Malaysia’s richest state Selangor as an example, the report quotes BN as claiming Pakatan had implemented only 15 per cent of the RM2.4 billion-worth of its 31 election pledges made in its 2008 manifesto.”….. Pakatan took over Selangor for less then 5 years but look at how long BN/UMNO been running the Country and we can judge who is doing better.
    The PM can promise Heaven On earth just to win the GE13 but how many flip flop and empty promises remain unfullfilled .

    Comment by gagojackman — February 9, 2013 @ 11:10 AM | Reply

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