The redelineation proposed by the Election Commission (EC) could allow Barisan Nasional to keep federal power with just one in three votes based on current trends, researcher Datuk Dr Mohammad Redzuan Othman asserted today.
The deputy chairman of the Institut Darul Ehsan (IDE) think-tank also claimed that previous delineations had resulted in stronger performance by BN.
“Based on my calculation, a popular vote of 35 percent is already enough for BN to have enough seats in Parliament,” he said when revealing results from a recent IDE survey on voting patterns in Selangor.
Redzuan said the current trend showed Chinese support gradually returning to BN and the coalition securing stronger Malay backing.
In Election 2013, BN took 133 out of the 220 federal seats contested, but received just 47 per cent of the popular vote.
“I know this redelineation is not final, but based on what has been published so far, the amount of popular votes they need could be even lesser this time around…”
The EC’s current redelineation exercise has been criticised by both opposition parties, electoral watchdogs like Bersih 2.0 and also BN component parties such as Gerakan.
The proposal for new electoral boundaries is currently in an exhibition process and all objections must be submitted to the state election director on Oct 14.
Redzuan also pointed out that out of the 20 constituencies with the biggest amount of voters in the last elections, BN only won three seats while Pakatan Rakyat won 17 of the seats.
“When you look at the seats with 20 least amount of voters, all of them are won by BN. Clearly the opposition dominates where there are more voters,” he said.
RAM ANAND@The Malay Mail Online